Geological background of Africa’s natural energy resources
https://doi.org/10.55959/MSU0579-9406-4-2024-63-6-100-113
Abstract
The article provides a comprehensive overview of the potential of energy resources of African countries based on geological prerequisites in the structure of sedimentary basins of the region. On the basis of numerous sources, the categorization of countries by the amount of hydrocarbon production, as well as by the size of resource potential of countries, has been carried out. For the largest countries in terms of production and reserves, a comparison is given with the main oil and gas basins, within which the producing fields are located and the main hydrocarbon reserves have been explored. In the context of the transition to renewable energy sources, the article examines African countries with high geothermal potential, such as Kenya, Ethiopia, Uganda, Tanzania, Zambia, capable of meeting the demand for electricity and heat. Various directions of application of geothermal heat depending on the temperature of the coolant are considered. The article provides examples of successful application of modern digital technologies to identify promising sites for further research and operation.
About the Authors
N. N. EreminRussian Federation
Nikolay N. Eremin
Moscow
K. A. Sitar
Russian Federation
Ksenia A. Sitar
Moscow
E. I. Baranovskaya
Russian Federation
Ekaterina I. Baranovskaya
Moscow
L. N. Orlova
Russian Federation
Lyubov N. Orlova
Moscow
A. V. Korotaev
Russian Federation
Andrey V. Korotaev
Moscow
A. G. Fesyun
Russian Federation
Andrey G. Fesyun
Moscow
M. R Avdalyan
Russian Federation
Mary R. Avdalyan
Moscow
S. A. Glukhova
Russian Federation
Svetlana A. Glukhova
Moscow
B. V. Georgievskiy
Russian Federation
Boris V. Georgievskiy
Moscow
I. Yu. Grishin
Russian Federation
Igor Yu. Grishin
Moscow
References
1. Басков Е.А. Гидротермы Земли / Е.А. Басков, С.Н. Суриков. Л.: Недра, Ленинградское отд., 1989. 243 с.
2. Георгиевский Б.В., Ситар К.А. Нефтегазоносность осадочных бассейнов различных геодинамических обстановок: сравнительный статистический анализ и ресурсный потенциал. Тектоника и геодинамика Земной коры и мантии: фундаментальные проблемы-2022: Мат-лы LIII Тектонического совещ. М.: ГЕОС, 2022. Т. 1. С. 119–125.
3. Джоланов Р.С., Крылова Е.А., Купорова М.А., Предеин К.В. Россия — Северная Африка: научно-технологическое и космическое сотрудничество // Азимут научных исследований: экономика и управление. 2023. Т. 12, № 3 (44). С. 147–151.
4. Дмитрий Вольвач: за 8 месяцев 2024 года товарооборот между Россией и Африкой вырос на 18,5%. Министерство экономического развития РФ, 9 ноября 2024 г. URL: https://economy.gov.ru/material/news/dmitriy_volvach_za_8_mesyacev_2024_goda_tovarooborot_mezhdu_rossiey_i_afrikoy_vyros_na_185.html (дата обращения: 27.12.2024).
5. Кортунов А.В., Цайзер Н.Г., Харитонова Е.В. и др. Африка — Россия+: достижения, проблемы, перспективы: совместный доклад Российского совета по международным делам (РСМД) и СОЮЗА «Африканская деловая инициатива» (АДИ). Доклад № 53/2020. Российский совет по международным делам (РСМД). М.: НП РСМД, 2020. 60 с.
6. Лукойл — Зарубежные проекты, 2024. URL: https:// lukoil.ru/Business/Upstream/Overseas (дата обращения: 04.08.2024).
7. Маринов Н.А. Гидрогеология Африки / Е.А. Востокова, Н.А. Маринов, Н.М. Новикова и др. Науч.-исслед. лаб. геологии зарубеж. стран. М.: Недра, 1978. 371 с.
8. Медведев И.А., Устюжанин В.В., Жданов А.И., Коротаев А.В. Применение методов машинного обучения для ранжирования факторов и прогнозирования невооруженной и вооруженной революционной дестабилизации в афразийской макрозоне нестабильности // Системный мониторинг глобальных и региональных рисков. 2022. № 13. С. 131–210.
9. Поваров О.А. Геотермальные промышленность и технологии в России / О.А. Поваров, Ю.Л. Лукашенко, Г.В. Томаров, С.Д. Циммерман // Тяжелое машиностроение. 2001. № 1. С. 14–19.
10. Росатом — Проекты — АЭС «Эль-Дабаа» (Египет), 2024. URL: https://ase-ec.ru/about/projects/aes-el-dabaa/ (дата обращения: 06.08.2024).
11. Ситар К.А., Георгиевский Б.В., Большакова М.А., Сауткин Р.С. Комплексная оценка условия формирования нефтегазоматеринского потенциала отложений неопротерозоя. Георесурсы. 2022. Т. 24, № 2. С. 47–59.
12. Черкасов С.В. Ресурсы термальных подземных вод: геологические факторы оценки и освоения / С.В. Черкасов, А.М. Фархутдинов // Минеральные ресурсы России. Экономика и управление. 2017. № 6. С. 21–26.
13. AFREC Africa Energy Database. African Energy Comission. 2015. 165 p.
14. Ahmed N.K., Atiya A.F., Gayar N.E., El-Shishiny H. An empirical comparison of machine learning models for time series forecasting // Econometric reviews. 2010. 29(5–6). P. 594–621.
15. Benbouzid B. Values and Consequences in Predictive Machine Evaluation. A Sociology of Predictive Policing // Science & Technology Studies. 2018. № 31. P. 119–136.
16. Bourcier W.L. Recovery of Minerals and Metals from Geothermal Fluids / W.L. Bourcier, M. Lin, G. Nix // Lowrence Livermore National Laboratory. Report UCRL-CONF-215135. 2005.
17. BP Statistical Review of World Energy BP Energy Outlook. 2024. https://www.bp.com/en/global/
18. Brownfield M.E. Assessment of undiscovered oil and gas resources of the Mozambique Coastal Province, East Africa, in Brownfield, M.E., compiler, Geologic assessment of undiscovered hydrocarbon resources of Sub-Saharan Africa: U.S. Geological Survey Digital Data Series 69–GG, chap.10. 2016. 13 p.
19. Brownfield M.E., Charpentier R.R. Geology and total petroleum systems of the West-Central Coastal Province (7203), West Africa // U.S. Geological Survey Bulletin 2207-B. 2006. 52 p.
20. Brydges C. Resource conflict in the Democratic Republic of Congo // Carleton Review of International Affairs. 2013. № 2. P. 19–33.
21. CGG. Robertson basins and plays (TellusTM) — Sedimentary basins of the World map. 2019. www.cgg.com/robertson.
22. Cuvelier J., Diemel J., Vlassenroot K. Digging deeper: the politics of ‘Conflict minerals’ in the eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo // Global Policy. 2013. № 4(4). P 449–451.
23. Dou L., Shi Z., Pang W., Ma F. Petroleum geological characteristics and exploration targets of the oil-rich sags in the Central and West African Rift System. PETROL. EXPLOR. DEVELOP., 51(1). 2024. P. 1–14.
24. EIA U.S. Energy Information Administration. 2024. https://www.eia.gov/
25. Echavarria F.R. Geothermal Energy Development in Africa // A Status Report. Distributed Generation and Alternative Energy Journal. 2008. Vol. 1, Issue 1. P. 1–12.
26. Eichstaedt P. Consuming the Congo: War and Conflict Minerals in the World’s Deadliest Place. Chicago, IL: Lawrence Hill Books. 2011. 232 p.
27. Elbarbary S., Zaher M.A., Saibi H., et al. Geothermal renewable energy prospects of the African continent using GIS // Geothermal Energy. 2022. № 10: 8. P. 1–19.
28. Evenick J.C. Glimpses into Earth’s history using a revised global sedimentary basin map, Earth-Science Reviews. 2021. Vol. 215.
29. Galeazzi S., Point O., Haddadi N., Mather J., Druesne D. Regional geology and petroleum systems of the Illizi–Berkine area of the Algerian Saharan Platform: An overview // Marine and Petroleum Geology. 2010. № 27. P. 143–178.
30. GDP Indicators. 2023. https://statisticstimes.com/economy/gdp-indicators-2023.php (дата обращения: 10.09.2024).
31. In Between Challenges and Potential: Charting a Sustainable Energy Course for East Africa. 2024. URL: https:// res4africa.org/in-between-challenges-and-potential-charting-a-sustainable-energy-course-for-east-africa (дата обра- щения: 07.09.2024).
32. Lundberg S.M., Erion G., Chen H., et al. From local explanations to global understanding with explainable AI for trees // Nature machine intelligence. 2020. № 2(1). P. 56–67.
33. Molina M., Garip F. Machine learning for sociology // Annual Review of Sociology. 2019. № 45. P. 27–45.
34. Noorollahi Y., Itoi R., Fujii H., Tanaka T. GIS model for geothermal resource exploration in Akita and Iwate prefectures, northern Japan // Comput Geosci. 2007. № 33. P. 1008–1021.
35. Prol-Ledesma R.M. Evaluation of the reconnaissance results in geothermal exploration using GIS // Geothermics. 2020. № 29. P. 83–103.
36. Rapanyane M.B. China’s involvement in the Democratic Republic of Congo’s resource curse mineral driven conflict: an Afrocentric review // Contemporary Social Science. 2022. № 17(2). P. 117–128.
37. Sigidov Y.I., Skubriy E.V., Orlova L.N., et al. Imperatives of formation or the information society in the context of the modern global challenges // Digital Future Economic Growth, Social Adaptation, and Technological Perspectives. Switzerland. 2020. P. 231–240.
38. Tekrour A.S.O. Hydrocarbon exploration opportunities in Mauritania: petroleum potential. 5th African Petroleum Forum, Global Pacific & Partners. London, 2008. P. 1–31.
39. Trumpy E., Donato A., Gianelli G., et. al. Data integration and favour ability maps for exploring geothermal systems in Sicily, southern Italy // Geothermics. 2015. № 56. P. 1–16.
40. United Nations. Statistical Annex I and II: Sustainable Development Goals Report 2024. 2024.URL: https://unstats.un.org/sdgs/files/report/2024/E_2024_54_Statistical_Annex-_I_and_II.pdf (дата обращения: 15.09.2024).
41. Wang’ombe L.W. Protracted Conflicts in Mineral-Rich African States: A Case Study Of DRC (Doctoral dissertation, University of Nairobi). 2018.
42. World Economic Forum. Africa’s Youth Population and Its Role in Driving Global Growth in the Digital Economy. 2023. URL: https://www.weforum.org/stories/2023/08/africa-youth-global-growth-digital-economy/ (дата обращения: 02.10.2024).
Review
For citations:
Eremin N.N., Sitar K.A., Baranovskaya E.I., Orlova L.N., Korotaev A.V., Fesyun A.G., Avdalyan M.R., Glukhova S.A., Georgievskiy B.V., Grishin I.Yu. Geological background of Africa’s natural energy resources. Moscow University Bulletin. Series 4. Geology. 2024;(6):100-113. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.55959/MSU0579-9406-4-2024-63-6-100-113