Damage assessment for bearing capacity of frozen grounds due to temperatures change and permafrost thawing in the arctic zone of the Russian Federation by the middle of the 21st century
https://doi.org/10.55959/MSU0579-9406-4-2023-63-5-105-116
Abstract
Changes in the bearing capacity of frozen soils under various scenarios of warming in the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation (AZRF) by 2050 are considered. Deformations and destruction of buildings and engineering structures in the Russian Arctic will develop gradually. Taking into account the climatic scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP8.5), in aggregate, 1/3 of the AZRF territory will experience a decrease in bearing capacity by more than 15% by the middle of the century; the Arctic coast of the European North of Russia, Yamal and the Gydan Peninsula are in the danger zone.
About the Authors
A. A. Falaleeva
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Arina A. Falaleeva
Moscow
Ya. Yu. Shelkov
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Yakov Yu. Shelkov
Moscow
V. G. Cheverev
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Viktor G. Cheverev
Moscow
A. V. Brushkov
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Anatoliy V. Brushkov
Moscow
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Review
For citations:
Falaleeva A.A., Shelkov Ya.Yu., Cheverev V.G., Brushkov A.V. Damage assessment for bearing capacity of frozen grounds due to temperatures change and permafrost thawing in the arctic zone of the Russian Federation by the middle of the 21st century. Moscow University Bulletin. Series 4. Geology. 2023;(5):105-116. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.55959/MSU0579-9406-4-2023-63-5-105-116
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