geolmsuВЕСТНИК МОСКОВСКОГО УНИВЕРСИТЕТА. СЕРИЯ 4. ГЕОЛОГИЯMoscow University Bulletin. Series 4. Geology0579-9406Издательский Дом МГУ10.55959/MSU0579-9406-4-2024-63-2-3-16geolmsu-678Research ArticleСтатьиЗапасы критического минерального сырья и дополнительные потребности в нем в эпоху энергетического переходаReserves of critical mineral materials and additional demand for them in era of energy transitionДергачевА. Л.DergachevA. L.

Александр Лукич Дергачев

Москва

Alexander L. Dergachev

Moscow

alderg51@yandex.ruШемякинаЕ. М.ShemyakinaE. M.

Елизавета Михайловна Шемякина

Москва

Elizaveta M. Shemyakina

Moscow

shemyakina_em@pfur.ruМосковский государственный университет имени М.В. ЛомоносоваРоссияLomonosov Moscow State UniversityRussian FederationРоссийский университет дружбы народовРоссияRUDN UniversityRussian Federation20240306202412316Copyright © Дергачев А.Л., Шемякина Е.М., 20242024Дергачев А.Л., Шемякина Е.М.Dergachev A.L., Shemyakina E.M.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://vestnik.geol.msu.ru/jour/article/view/678

На основе компьютерной модели выполнена оценка будущей дополнительной потребности в минеральных материалах для производства ветровых турбин, солнечных панелей, систем накопления и хранения электроэнергии и электромобилей, необходимых для реализации сценария перехода к малоуглеродной энергетике, предложенного Международным энергетическим агентством. Спрос на некоторые критически важные металлы и индустриальные минералы был сопоставлен c их имеющимися промышленными запасами и ресурсами. Поставки критического минерального сырья для некоторых технологий энергетического перехода могут явиться новым вызовом устойчивому развитию минерально-сырьевой базы мировой экономики, а в перспективе оказаться сдерживающим фактором в использовании возобновляемых источников энергии.

Based on a computer model, an assessment was made of the future additional demaand for minerals for the production of wind turbines, solar panels, energy storage systems and electric vehicles necessary to implement the IEA 2DS scenario for the transition to low-carbole energy. Demand for some critical metals and industrial minerals has been compared tj therir available economic reserves and resources. The supply of critical mineral materials for some energy transition technologies may pose a new challenge to the sustainable develkpment of the mineral base of the world economy, and in the future become a deterrent to the use of renewable energy sources.

энергетический переходвозобновляемые источники энергиикритическое минеральное сырьезапасы минерального сырьяминеральные ресурсыenergy transitionrenewable energy sourcescritical mineral materialsreserves of mineral raw materialsmineral resourcesReferencesДергачев А.Л., Шемякина Е.М. Критическое мине-ральное сырье для малоуглеродной энергетики // Вестн. Моск. ун-та. Сер. 4. Геология. 2023. № 3. С. 3–10.Дергачев А.Л., Шемякина Е.М. Критическое мине-ральное сырье для малоуглеродной энергетики // Вестн. Моск. ун-та. Сер. 4. Геология. 2023. № 3. 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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.